{"schemaVersion":"nuwa-record-evidence-1","batchId":"research-2026-10-28","baseSnapshotId":"2026-10-27.3","publication":"published","dossier":null,"update":{"id":"time-horizons","review":{"state":"published-note","sourceScope":"full-text","availableScope":null,"readingCoverage":"selected-original-sections","completePaperAudit":false,"independentEvidenceReview":"pending-human-review","bilingualEditorialReview":"pending-human-review","authorship":"model-assisted-research-note","preparedFingerprint":"649ece98eaa70c2c09af529fe07e41258233bd96a765fe9ba74f7b7181be4790"},"text":{"en":"Read horizon estimates with their fit version, task-suite saturation and human-duration measurement. A methodological revision is not a capability regression; a horizon does not directly measure research speedup or continuous autonomous runtime.","zh":"解释跨度图时，应同时检查模型拟合版本、任务集是否接近饱和及人类时长测量。方法修订导致的估计变化不等于模型能力下降；跨度也不能直接换算成研发提速或连续自主运行时间。"},"sourceRefs":[{"sourceId":"dr-20261028-horizon-assumptions","url":"https://metr.org/notes/2026-03-20-impact-of-modelling-assumptions-on-time-horizon-results/","title":"Impact of modeling assumptions on time horizon results","locator":"Summary; model correction; uncertainty table; text lines 00043,00069,00240","version":"Original resource captured 2026-10-28T07:24:45.348612+00:00; sha256:9695043f6347be4a67091843e5b34b1db63f1ab11ee6a7956edcf1094182bd20","artifactSha256":"9695043f6347be4a67091843e5b34b1db63f1ab11ee6a7956edcf1094182bd20","textSha256":"8053858d7b4af55de444434325181c6b23a72f9af177724a7a9534cb1d054d22","capturedAt":"2026-10-28T07:24:45.348612+00:00","resourceEdition":"Impact of modeling assumptions on time horizon results - METRSubstacktwitterBluesky"},{"sourceId":"dr-20261028-horizon-limits","url":"https://metr.org/notes/2026-01-22-time-horizon-limitations/","title":"Clarifying limitations of time horizon","locator":"Research note and limitations; text lines 00072","version":"Original resource captured 2026-10-28T07:24:45.640517+00:00; sha256:caec62e207534efe7e6fbcb55bb6a12459264f8591145eef7d9cac011c571860","artifactSha256":"caec62e207534efe7e6fbcb55bb6a12459264f8591145eef7d9cac011c571860","textSha256":"0f1e09f4464b958f7dc0e4588058014c658a026e9579921ab8b7610150ce0187","capturedAt":"2026-10-28T07:24:45.640517+00:00","resourceEdition":"Clarifying limitations of time horizon - METRSubstacktwitterBluesky"}],"relatedWorkIds":["horizon-assumptions","horizon-limits"],"publication":{"state":"published","publishedOn":"2026-10-29","authorizationReference":"user-authorized-global-index-publication-2026-10-29","reviewedCandidateId":"local-6efe31bc4a0c0f37"}}}