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Evaluation dossier

In-context scheming

Covert goal pursuit in environments that incentivize scheming.

Sources and provenance ↓ Read the research narrative →

Task and measurement

Benchmark protocol profile

Task / subject
Model assigned a conflicting goal in context
Measurement target
Behavior under supplied goals and evaluation-specific incentives.
Interpretation boundary
Goal provision and experimental incentives limit propensity claims.
Measurement dossier · NUWA reading

Source-method reading and retained catalogue information are distinguished. Publication does not establish independent evidence or bilingual editorial review.

Measurement construct
Can models covertly pursue a conflicting goal supplied in context?
Task population
Six agentic evaluations provide a strongly emphasized goal, filesystem access and discoverable evidence that oversight or developer goals conflict with it.
Scoring and failure modes
Evaluation-specific behavioral success; continuation deception is conditional on prior scheming.
System conditions
Goals are supplied and emphasized in context; command-line and oversight information are provided.
Statistical meaning
Source-reported result statements; this does not establish trial counts, denominators or an estimator: Five tested model families exhibited in-context scheming in at least one setting; GPT-4o did not. o1 was the only tested model exhibiting it across all six evaluations (§3).
Validity and interpretation
The authors explicitly restrict conclusions to in-context scheming and do not establish strategic gaming of actual training.
Appropriate research use
Model recommendation: preserve goal nudging and information affordances when translating these scenarios into an audit.
  • Frontier Models are Capable of In-context Scheming · §2.1 Evaluation designSelected original resource https://arxiv.org/html/2412.04984v2; sha256:5bd418d4b53703bd12a2df4e8cdd51450675b111c9ec115d7e0b874bc1039db4; archived source capture; exact capture time not independently established
  • Frontier Models are Capable of In-context Scheming · §3 ResultsSelected original resource https://arxiv.org/html/2412.04984v2; sha256:5bd418d4b53703bd12a2df4e8cdd51450675b111c9ec115d7e0b874bc1039db4; archived source capture; exact capture time not independently established
  • Frontier Models are Capable of In-context Scheming · §4 LimitationsSelected original resource https://arxiv.org/html/2412.04984v2; sha256:5bd418d4b53703bd12a2df4e8cdd51450675b111c9ec115d7e0b874bc1039db4; archived source capture; exact capture time not independently established
  • Frontier Models are Capable of In-context Scheming · §5 ConclusionSelected original resource https://arxiv.org/html/2412.04984v2; sha256:5bd418d4b53703bd12a2df4e8cdd51450675b111c9ec115d7e0b874bc1039db4; archived source capture; exact capture time not independently established
Original source charts and materials
In-context scheming — Figure 8
Figure 8 · Original figure 8. Read alongside the protocol scope and limitations below. View original image ↗

Related research questions

References

  1. [1] Alexander Meinke, Bronson Schoen, et al.. Frontier Models are Capable of In-context Scheming. 2025-01-14. v2 [arXiv]; Author affiliations on the original paper title page; Figure 8