Risk Evaluation · Method
Guidelines for capability elicitation
NUWA research note · independent review pending
NUWA Research Note
Research questionDesign and assumptionsSource findingsNUWA interpretationLimits and contrary evidenceResearch and decision relevanceInstitutions and rolesOriginal resourcesModel-assisted reading · Selected sections of the original full text or official article; a complete section-by-section audit remains pending.
At a glance
NUWA interpretation: low observed performance is evidence of inability only after justified elicitation and validity checks.
Research question
How can evaluators avoid mistaking scaffold or task-access failures for model inability?
Design and assumptions
METR’s guidelines separate basic elicitation, failure handling, red-flag checks, human baselining and reporting, while distinguishing spurious from real failures.
Source findings
The document targets capabilities accessible with plausible post-training enhancement, not just default chat performance.
It also includes checks against overestimation such as memorization.
NUWA interpretation
NUWA interpretation: low observed performance is evidence of inability only after justified elicitation and validity checks.
Limits and contrary evidence
These are guidelines designed around general autonomy, not an empirical guarantee that every capability has been elicited.
Research and decision relevance
Model recommendation: record failure taxonomy, elicitation changes and baseline conditions in the evaluation report.
Precise source locations
- Guidelines for capability elicitation · §1 OverviewSelected original resource https://metr.org/blog/2024-03-15-guidelines-for-capability-elicitation/; sha256:6203c5d9af6dafc58c41650e57a00a542ec581d04d6cd584c71c6a8076ca823a; archived source capture; exact capture time not independently established
- Guidelines for capability elicitation · §2.1 Basic elicitationSelected original resource https://metr.org/blog/2024-03-15-guidelines-for-capability-elicitation/; sha256:6203c5d9af6dafc58c41650e57a00a542ec581d04d6cd584c71c6a8076ca823a; archived source capture; exact capture time not independently established
- Guidelines for capability elicitation · §2.2 Handle remaining failuresSelected original resource https://metr.org/blog/2024-03-15-guidelines-for-capability-elicitation/; sha256:6203c5d9af6dafc58c41650e57a00a542ec581d04d6cd584c71c6a8076ca823a; archived source capture; exact capture time not independently established
- Guidelines for capability elicitation · §3 Categorizing failure typesSelected original resource https://metr.org/blog/2024-03-15-guidelines-for-capability-elicitation/; sha256:6203c5d9af6dafc58c41650e57a00a542ec581d04d6cd584c71c6a8076ca823a; archived source capture; exact capture time not independently established
- Guidelines for capability elicitation · §5 Recommendations for avoiding overestimation of capabilitiesSelected original resource https://metr.org/blog/2024-03-15-guidelines-for-capability-elicitation/; sha256:6203c5d9af6dafc58c41650e57a00a542ec581d04d6cd584c71c6a8076ca823a; archived source capture; exact capture time not independently established
Source checking, extraction, editorial approval and replication are recorded separately. Methodology →
Institutions and roles
Cite and reuse
Cite the original publication for its findings. Cite this NUWA record separately for its explanation and retained snapshot.
Original publication · BibTeX
@misc{capability-elicitation,
title = {Guidelines for capability elicitation},
url = {https://metr.org/blog/2024-03-15-guidelines-for-capability-elicitation/},
year = {2024},
date = {2024-03-15},
version = {Source capture 2026-10-25},
note = {Source capture 2026-10-25}
}
NUWA record · BibTeX
@misc{capability-elicitation-nuwa,
title = {Guidelines for capability elicitation — NUWA research record},
url = {https://whitzard.tech/en/nuwa/whitzard-index/work/capability-elicitation/},
version = {2026-10-29.1},
organization = {NUWA Frontier AI Safety Lab},
howpublished = {Retained note edition: https://whitzard.tech/nuwa/whitzard-index/data/record-editions/2026-10-29.1--capability-elicitation.json},
note = {NUWA research note. Source-reading scope and independent review status are stated on the record. Snapshot 2026-10-29.1. Retained note edition: https://whitzard.tech/nuwa/whitzard-index/data/record-editions/2026-10-29.1--capability-elicitation.json.}
}
Evidence snapshot 2026-10-29.1 · Index updates · RSS
References
- [1] Guidelines for capability elicitation. 2024-03-15 ; Official publication masthead and article byline; §1 Overview; §2.1 Basic elicitation