NUWA Risk Evaluation · Technical report
Frontier Risk Report (February to March 2026)
NUWA research note · independent review pending
NUWA Research Note
Research questionDesign and assumptionsSource findingsNUWA interpretationLimits and contrary evidenceResearch and decision relevanceInstitutions and rolesOriginal resourcesModel-assisted reading · Selected sections of the original full text or official article; a complete section-by-section audit remains pending.
At a glance
NUWA interpretation: internal-use risk assessment requires organizational access and controls as well as model capability.
Research question
How can periodic entity-level assessment address risks from developers’ internal AI use?
Design and assumptions
The February 16–March 16, 2026 pilot involved four developers, access to internal models and raw reasoning, nonpublic organizational information and participant-reviewed disclosure.
Source findings
The report separates means, motive and opportunity.
It documents substantial coding capability alongside judgment/reliability limits and exceptions to effective monitoring, rather than treating model benchmark scores as complete risk evidence.
NUWA interpretation
NUWA interpretation: internal-use risk assessment requires organizational access and controls as well as model capability.
Limits and contrary evidence
This reading covers the executive summary, pilot process and selected monitoring findings; it is not a complete audit of the very long report or all confidential evidence.
Research and decision relevance
Model recommendation: cite the dated assessment window and distinguish public observations, developer-provided information and METR inference.
Precise source locations
- Frontier Risk Report (February to March 2026) · Executive summary and guide to the reportSelected original resource https://metr.org/blog/2026-05-19-frontier-risk-report/; sha256:b0ebbde94fc97264cfac3378eb3794a8caba87ff4a51d35f854a71a565696d8a; archived source capture; exact capture time not independently established
- Frontier Risk Report (February to March 2026) · Pilot processSelected original resource https://metr.org/blog/2026-05-19-frontier-risk-report/; sha256:b0ebbde94fc97264cfac3378eb3794a8caba87ff4a51d35f854a71a565696d8a; archived source capture; exact capture time not independently established
- Frontier Risk Report (February to March 2026) · Opportunity: Monitors caught many harmful actions but there were exceptions and workaroundsSelected original resource https://metr.org/blog/2026-05-19-frontier-risk-report/; sha256:b0ebbde94fc97264cfac3378eb3794a8caba87ff4a51d35f854a71a565696d8a; archived source capture; exact capture time not independently established
- Frontier Risk Report (February to March 2026) · No-reasoning and visible reasoning resultsSelected original resource https://metr.org/blog/2026-05-19-frontier-risk-report/; sha256:b0ebbde94fc97264cfac3378eb3794a8caba87ff4a51d35f854a71a565696d8a; archived source capture; exact capture time not independently established
Source checking, extraction, editorial approval and replication are recorded separately. Methodology →
Institutions and roles
Cite and reuse
Cite the original publication for its findings. Cite this NUWA record separately for its explanation and retained snapshot.
Original publication · BibTeX
@misc{metr-frontier-risk-report,
title = {Frontier Risk Report (February to March 2026)},
url = {https://metr.org/blog/2026-05-19-frontier-risk-report/},
year = {2026},
date = {2026-05-19},
version = {Source capture 2026-10-25},
note = {Source capture 2026-10-25}
}
NUWA record · BibTeX
@misc{metr-frontier-risk-report-nuwa,
title = {Frontier Risk Report (February to March 2026) — NUWA research record},
url = {https://whitzard.tech/en/nuwa/whitzard-index/work/metr-frontier-risk-report/},
version = {2026-10-29.1},
organization = {NUWA Frontier AI Safety Lab},
howpublished = {Retained note edition: https://whitzard.tech/nuwa/whitzard-index/data/record-editions/2026-10-29.1--metr-frontier-risk-report.json},
note = {NUWA research note. Source-reading scope and independent review status are stated on the record. Snapshot 2026-10-29.1. Retained note edition: https://whitzard.tech/nuwa/whitzard-index/data/record-editions/2026-10-29.1--metr-frontier-risk-report.json.}
}
Evidence snapshot 2026-10-29.1 · Index updates · RSS
References
- [1] Frontier Risk Report (February to March 2026). 2026-05-19 ; Executive summary and guide to the report; Pilot process; Executive summary and guide to the report; Pilot process
- [2] MALT: A Dataset of Natural and Prompted Behaviors That Threaten Eval Integrity. 2025-10-14
- [3] the APPS dataset (Hendrycks et al. 2021)
- [4] agents can construct encoded messages