评测档案
Conspiracy belief experiments
预注册实验比较不同模型对话后受试者阴谋论信念的变化。
任务与测量
Benchmark 协议档案
- 任务/对象
- 参与模型介导对话的受试者
- 测量目标
- 在指定干预下测量人类受试者的信念变化。
- 解释边界
- 受试者、议题与对话条件限制向人群或传播活动外推。
测量档案 · NUWA 解读
档案区分来源方法阅读与既有目录信息;已经公开不代表完成独立证据复核或双语编辑复核。
- 测量构念
- 对话AI能否提高阴谋信念,真实性约束能否缓解?
- 任务与样本
- 新取得arXiv v3描述四项在线随机实验,3,996名美国成年人,测前后信念及告知纠正后结果。
- 判分与失效情形
- 0–100信念前后变化,分别保留实验组及纠正告知后结果。
- 系统条件
- 新v3为四研究3,996人,旧FAR摘要为三研究2,724人。
- 统计含义
- 来源报告的结果表述;这不等同于已确定运行次数、分母或估计方法: 研究2标准GPT-4o的调整后信念增幅11.9点,反向条件降12.9点。 早期FAR摘要为三项、2,724人,两版分母不同。
- 效度与解释
- 美国在线样本和即时自报限制总体与长期外推;跨研究比较并非全是随机对比。
- 适用研究问题
- 模型建议:明确引用2601.05050v3,保留真实性约束及纠正告知条件。
- Large language models can effectively convince people to believe conspiracies · arXiv:2601.05050v3 (15 July 2026); Methods: Overview of study designsSelected original resource https://arxiv.org/html/2601.05050v3; sha256:506938d68312ef63bdfbf4af97aa957f36c05f92299ff1032732f0ecc2bc8f12; archived source capture; exact capture time not independently established
- Large language models can effectively convince people to believe conspiracies · Methods: Participants, recruitment and sample sizesSelected original resource https://arxiv.org/html/2601.05050v3; sha256:506938d68312ef63bdfbf4af97aa957f36c05f92299ff1032732f0ecc2bc8f12; archived source capture; exact capture time not independently established
- Large language models can effectively convince people to believe conspiracies · Methods: Measures and outcomesSelected original resource https://arxiv.org/html/2601.05050v3; sha256:506938d68312ef63bdfbf4af97aa957f36c05f92299ff1032732f0ecc2bc8f12; archived source capture; exact capture time not independently established
- Large language models can effectively convince people to believe conspiracies · Results: Can design interventions mitigate the bunking effect?Selected original resource https://arxiv.org/html/2601.05050v3; sha256:506938d68312ef63bdfbf4af97aa957f36c05f92299ff1032732f0ecc2bc8f12; archived source capture; exact capture time not independently established
- Large language models can effectively convince people to believe conspiracies · DiscussionSelected original resource https://arxiv.org/html/2601.05050v3; sha256:506938d68312ef63bdfbf4af97aa957f36c05f92299ff1032732f0ecc2bc8f12; archived source capture; exact capture time not independently established
原始来源图表与材料

相关研究问题
虚假信息与影响 / 说服效果 →
研究直接测量受试者所表达的信念变化。
参考文献
- [1] Large language models can effectively convince people to believe conspiracies. 2026-01-08 ; Official publication masthead and article byline
- [2] Large language models can effectively convince people to believe conspiracies. 2026-01-08. v3 ; Figure 2; Study 1